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Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics

A perpetual staple of statistical shenanigans are "studies" comparing one heterogeneous population with other, or with many other heterogeneous populations, where the researcher picks out one item among the myriad…
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That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot
Posted inStatistics

That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot

This post will also run at the Broken Science Initiative site later today. A new study came out that claimed intermittent fasting is bad for you. This shocked a lot…
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Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective

I once had a guy walk out on me at a scientific conference, full of my peers. He and I were disagreeing about the nature of probability. The exact words…
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Yes, They Are Still Coming For Our Gas Stoves
Posted inStatistics

Yes, They Are Still Coming For Our Gas Stoves

Scientists chase after fads as much, and maybe even more, than anybody else. We have seen this numberless times, "climate change" and covid being the two most prominent examples. Every…
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AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies
Posted inStatistics

AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies

In Asimov's original Foundation, a novel set amidst a fading and decaying Empire, one saturated in hubris and self-esteem, we meet Lord Dorwin, a celebrated scholar from the Galactic Empire,…
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Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report
Posted inStatistics

Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report

There was another Broken Science event this past weekend in the Phoenix area. Yours Truly was there. I gather the videos will be on line at some point, at the…
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Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge

From Mars, John Carter reports in a wonderful essay discussing the Regime's attempts at manipulation says this: People don’t like being gaslit. The psychological techniques used by salesmen, con men,…
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The Near Impossibility Of Defending Yourself Against Charges Of Climate Change
Posted inStatistics

The Near Impossibility Of Defending Yourself Against Charges Of Climate Change

I was recently pre-fired from a job helping with the defense of a very large company in its fight over being charged with the same non-crime detailed below. My point…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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