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Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”

I looked up one Lasse S. Stoetzer. Soy-faced economics degree holder. Sketchy beard. Keeps Funko-Pop-like toys on his bookshelf. He looks like a living meme. I also looked up a…
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Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I

Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…
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Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability
Posted inStatistics

Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability

I hope you'll forgive this minor repetition, my friends. But since the world has not yet converted to the truth, shouted by de Finetti and handful of others, that probability…
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Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper
Posted inStatistics

Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper

You and I, dear reader, have looked at a lot of bad science over the years. Some science was bad because of the stank of woke, some because of fractured…
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The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards
Posted inStatistics

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man's influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The…
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Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!
Posted inCulture Statistics

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: "Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models". This is a paper that will be celebrated…
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Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought
Posted inStatistics

Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought

A lot of kids have alphabet blocks. Twenty six wooden squares with the letters of the alphabet on them. One way to arrange them is just like in the song,…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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  1. McChuck on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    It's not just you. SciFi and Fantasy died in the 1980's, and was buried under a mountain of dreck in…

  2. NLR on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 11, 2026

    "AI" will not come alive, but also, it has been over three years and none of the "AI" predictions have…

  3. Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

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