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How Nonsense Masquerades As Science: Climate “Code Red” Example
Posted inPodcast Statistics

How Nonsense Masquerades As Science: Climate “Code Red” Example

This post is also available as a podcast. As you can tell, I recently lost my voice; and the bad news is that it was found, partially. Or listen on…
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Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter
Posted inStatistics

Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter

I want you to memorize something important. Never forget it. Ready? Artificial "intelligence", or AI, is just statistical modeling. (Regular readers already knew this.) Here's something else to know. Some…
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CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned:  Kids & The Coronadoom Vex
Posted inCulture Statistics

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

Update Well, they voted the wrong way. I'm also a bit surprised there doesn't seem much interest in this news. How quickly we surrender? Rochelle Walensky, the head of CDC,…
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Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers
Posted inStatistics

Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers

ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, "It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something,…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken
Posted inStatistics

The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken

The five main reasons Science is broken are: 1. Woke & DIE 2. The Expansion Team Effect & Money 3. The Expertocracy 4. Scientism & Scidolatry 5. Bad Philosophy A…
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The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview
Posted inStatistics

The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview

Jaap Hanekamp and I discuss the Dutch nitrogen "crisis." Farmers in the Netherlands are unhappy with government wanting to shut them down or reduce their operations, because of a supposed…
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  1. Briggs on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Anon. I believe you'll find they are the same. I did a little shorthand by first taking the absolute value…

  2. Anonymous on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Errata: your moneyline formula should have (x - 100) in the denominator for -x.

  3. Dana on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…

  4. John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026

    1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

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