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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Criticism of Jerrett et al. CARB PM2.5 And Mortality Report

A pdf of this criticism may be downloaded here. The Jerrett report can be found here. Background on this subject can be found here. Overall Author Michael Jerrett and nine…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Number Of Ways To Go Nuts To Increase: DSM-V

Here are the official number of ways you can go nuts, according to the peer-reviewed Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. The DSM-I started in 1952 with just 601…
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Posted inStatistics

Of Course Human Caused Climate Change Is Real

"In a survey last year by the National Academy of Sciences, 97 percent to 98 percent of climate researchers agreed with the premise that humans are causing climate change." So…
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Posted inStatistics

Are 40 Percent of Europeans Mentally Ill?

Forty-percent of a population is a lot. Imagine a street filled with people---European people. Perhaps they are standing in line waiting for their free health care. Four out of ten…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Science? Part I

Science says this, science says that. There is no more loquacious entity these days than science. What is it? Climatologists talk of the science. Physicists compliment by saying a fellow…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are You Good At Picking Football Games? Edgehogs

I haven't met a die-hard sports fan yet who hasn't claimed to be able to pick games better than everybody else. Just as I haven't met a gambler who hasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

Spencer’s Paper Reviewed; Remote Sensing Editor Wolfgang Wagner Resigns

Politics In one of the most asinine, self-promoting, sniveling, absurd, nakedly political moves Wolfgang Wagner has resigned, with trumpets blazing, his editorship of Remote Sensing. Why? Because the journal under…
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    "(I have in the queue a story on confirmation bias of academic Experts that confirms my bias that academic Experts…

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    Around 2013, I obtained all death certificate data from the state of California for the years 2000-2012. I posted on…

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    Anon. I believe you'll find they are the same. I did a little shorthand by first taking the absolute value…

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    Errata: your moneyline formula should have (x - 100) in the denominator for -x.

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    I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…

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