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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun

Reader Poll: Mayan Apocalypse, For or Against?

In just over a week, on 21 December, it will be the glorious End of Times or it will be just over a week from today. Which is to be…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Can We Learn From A Crude Model Of Sexually Transmitted Diseases?

It's Statistical Modeling Day, so let's look at one dealing with sexually transmitted diseases. Why this subject? Well, according to New York's CBS 2, "Study Shows Soaring STD Rates In…
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Posted inFun Philosophy

Transhumanists Gather In San Francisco

My first thought when I read the title of today's post (from Bioedge) was that it was some kind of warning. Look out! It's the transhumanists! And then I figured…
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Posted inCulture Fun

The Superpower I’d Most Like To Have

This is written in earnest; my desire is sincere. And not uncommon: I mean, the longing for a superpower and the announcing of same are not rare. No less than…
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Posted inFun Philosophy

Sam Harris & William Lane Craig Duke It Out

The debate question was: Are the foundations of moral values natural or supernatural? Winner? By acclamation Harris, but then the deck was stacked against Lane because the event was held…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?

Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Two Oregon Academics Attempt Logic Lesson, Fail Miserably

Bertrand Russell said: "People are zealous for a cause when they are not quite positive that it is true." I think this false and even scurrilous. The zealous are nothing…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

National Catholic Reporter Calls For Ordination Of Women

The NCR, the Catholic equivalent of the New York Times, ended their teasing yesterday and came right out and said it. "Catholic women who have discerned a call to the…
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  1. John Pate on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    The amusing thing is one of the facilitators of China's rise is its falling fertility, giving it the breathing space…

  2. Neil Taylor on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 8, 2026

    1. A protester will open fire and kill multiple ICE agents. 2. Kier Starmer will loose his job as leader…

  3. Uncle Mike on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    Well then Tars, if depopulating China is your goal, they should definitely end restrictions on births. Because the fewer the…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    @Tars Tarkas While living in China, I never felt a need for more people or cars. I did, however, often…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    I don't know why they get all upset about the TF. When things change, things change. We are wrecking our…

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