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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inCulture

Pope Francis And Out-Of-Control Deadly Eschatological Global Warming

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. The press, fond as they are of reporting wild speculation as actual news, has…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is Good

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. This post is one…
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Posted inFun

Manly Things, Northern Michigan Edition

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. My number one son sent me the video above (linked here). Can you imagine…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: IV

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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  1. Hun on The Equality ParadoxJuly 20, 2026

    This is prole drift. In the past, the ruling class consisted of people who had to fight or have some…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say AcademicsJuly 20, 2026

    Is this God salience said to affect our other appetites?

  3. N.S. Palmer on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 17, 2026

    "Some moral beliefs are universally true because they are based on human nature. However, these beliefs are essentially factual beliefs:…

  4. PonderPoints on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedJuly 17, 2026

    You argue that Faggin is right to reject mechanistic emergence but wrong to award consciousness to every field or “seity,”…

  5. John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026

    I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.

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