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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Why Statistics Can’t Discover Cause, And Bad Priors

My mailbag is filling up. Today two questions from readers, both about statistics. Feel free to send yours in on any subject. Tomorrow is a doozy. Question 1 From reader…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Supposed Newly Discovered “Gay Genes.” Or, The Importance Of Model Skill

Great news! The press and activists are touting a study which claims to have discovered the genes that "make" somebody gay. So get your enwombed baby's DNA scanned and make…
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Posted inStatistics

Enjoy Coffee? You Could Be A Psychopath. Or, Time For A Two-Year Moratorium Of Questionnaire Science

The headline blared "Enjoy coffee or a gin and tonic? You could be a psychopath: People with dark personalities prefer bitter foods and drinks". And then the bullet points: *…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Will And Contingency

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Contingency is…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: SJW’s Openly Deploying F-Bombs

So a magazine which follows advertisers' leads on how to match sock color F-bombed that neurosurgeon fellow who happens to be running for president. GQ, which I'm not sure who…
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Posted inStatistics

How Many Deaths Does Reading @Voxdotcom Cause?

Bernd Felsche ?sends the breaking Vox news story "How many deaths did Volkswagen's pollution scandal cause? A back-of-the-envelope estimate." This article may represent the triumph of "explanatory" journalism. Volkswagen was…
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Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As A 1000-Year Flood

Phrases like "100 year rainfalls" or floods or whatever for whatever period of time are awful. They convey an improper idea of uncertainty. The phrase "X year event" is based…
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Posted inCulture

Never Adopt The Enemy’s Language

We should never adopt the enemy's language. It unnecessarily concedes him a victory and lessens our ability to think and to argue. Listen to Orwell! I was reminded of this…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris PodcastSeptember 9, 2026

    Nature abhors a vacuum

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  3. Brian ( bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Ps. When I saw "River's Edge", it reminded me of a, weirdly, morally ambiguous 1950s Hitchcock film (with Jerry "Beaver"…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    As a child in the 1960s, I tended to get injured more often in warm months than in cold months,…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Today's subject seems a bit too warm to touch. Well, somebody has to break the ice (9?). I keep remembering…

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