May 2, 2024 – William M. Briggs

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025
What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…
Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025
I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…
shawn marshall on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025
Let us not discredit the demonic.
Cary Cotterman on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025
Blair: "...lightning came inside and chased her to a back bedroom." Anyone who can outrun lightning, even if it's only…
McChuck on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025
I knew a fellow win the Army who had been struck by lightning three times. Whenever he heard thunder, he…