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Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert
Posted inStatistics

Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert

Suppose you're an Expert, or even an ordinary person, and you say, "If the world is like X, then Y will happen". Or you say or imply, "If the world…
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  1. McChuck on Class 99: Entropy Part IOctober 29, 2026

    Entropy is described as a numerical rating of chaos. This is more confusing than not, and a poor descriptor, even…

  2. Briggs on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Ultrarightist, Apparently not: They use case laminate (also called adhesive case binding or image-wrap) construction: The page block is glued…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Most book stores have a rack where employees put new books they've read, accompanied by short, usually hand-written reviews. It's…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Hi Doc' May your new volume be a great success! Meanwhile, I'm hoping someone will write a book called; "The…

  5. Ultrarightist on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the new edition of your book. Will the hardcover have a sewn binding?

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