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Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert
Posted inStatistics

Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert

Suppose you're an Expert, or even an ordinary person, and you say, "If the world is like X, then Y will happen". Or you say or imply, "If the world…
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  1. John Pate on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsSeptember 30, 2026

    You cannot use reason on people whose arguments are not based on reason. That's why we invented guns.

  2. Leonard on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsSeptember 30, 2026

    I could have anthopic give me a summary of Mein Kampf written as a scientific paper and it would probably…

  3. spetzer86 on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsSeptember 30, 2026

    If an event can happen that transitions a baby into a human, could not a similar event occur that would…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsSeptember 30, 2026

    That fatalistic sense of humor will come in handy today.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsSeptember 30, 2026

    My old friend Nat Plotkin, had a joke about the Jewish position on abortion; "The fetus becomes a human being…

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