February 5, 2025 – William M. Briggs

On Various New Values Of P(Doom)

Two items over the past week revealed many who are pretty sure the End is Nigh. The Doomsday Clock clicked forward, and certain AI celebrities were caught wringing their hands.…

Uncle Mike on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025
What if you rolled a six-sided die 60 times and scored a 10 for each side (1-10, 2-10, 3-10, 4-10,…
Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025
Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…
Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025
Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.
Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025
Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…
William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025
As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…