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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Why Much Of Science Is Fake
Posted inStatistics

Why Much Of Science Is Fake

Why is so much of Science now fake? There are many small reasons, but one big one. Our Expertocracy. Here is a small survey proving this. Anon posted a cri…
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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps
Posted inCulture Statistics

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

This is update CIX. Let's summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: "Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus". Taleb almost at…
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How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids —  Coronavirus Update CV
Posted inStatistics

How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids — Coronavirus Update CV

DEAD BODIES https://twitter.com/le_Parisien/status/1457786009232424964 Here is a thread of young men, mostly athletes, who have recently dropped dead from heart attacks and the like (clots, etc.). Many such cases. Many such…
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Blot Out The Sun Say Our Friends & Benefactors, The Scientists
Posted inCulture

Blot Out The Sun Say Our Friends & Benefactors, The Scientists

In old science fiction movies the mad scientist was a lone genius intent on world domination. He usually had a grudge against his colleagues for ignoring or slighting his obvious…
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Vexxines Killing Kids? Cult Of The Mask; Cult Of The Science; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVI
Posted inStatistics

Vexxines Killing Kids? Cult Of The Mask; Cult Of The Science; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVI

ALL CAUSE DEATHS This is usually in the numbers section, but I worry the point I'm making is getting lost. The week-of-the-year all-cause deaths. Green line is 2021, red is…
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Harvard Tries To Blame The Coronadoom On Climate Change
Posted inStatistics

Harvard Tries To Blame The Coronadoom On Climate Change

From Z man I got the link to a debased Harvard site which claims the coronadoom was caused by---no, not white supremacy, not directly---by climate change. The site is, if…
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  1. NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025

    An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.

  2. FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025

    […] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…

  3. Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…

  4. spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…

  5. John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Number seven just took the big sleep.

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