Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A 1000-Year Flood
Phrases like "100 year rainfalls" or floods or whatever for whatever period of time are awful. They convey an improper idea of uncertainty. The phrase "X year event" is based…
Posted inCulture
Never Adopt The Enemy’s Language
We should never adopt the enemy's language. It unnecessarily concedes him a victory and lessens our ability to think and to argue. Listen to Orwell! I was reminded of this…
Posted inStatistics
Newly Discovered Ocean Cooling Process Implies Climate Stabler Than We Knew
Today's post is at The Stream: "Newly Discovered Ocean Cooling Process Implies Climate Stabler Than We Knew." A new paper about how certain chemicals produced in the ocean might cause…
Posted inFun Statistics
Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong
Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
Posted inCulture
Stream: UN’s Vision for Lifting Up the World’s Poor Differs Sharply from the Pope’s
Today's post is at the Stream: "UN's Vision for Lifting Up the World's Poor Differs Sharply from the Pope's". And dangerously. Pope Francis, in his speech to the UN, expressed…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Lawrence Krauss Wants All Scientists To Be Militant Atheists
Krauss's biggest mistake in the first part of his "All Scientists Should Be Militant Atheists" article is to assume the (secular) government gets to decide right and wrong. Krauss is…
Posted inStatistics
Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead
https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
Posted inCulture
A Prayer For The Earth: Answering The Pope’s Call. A One Act Mini-Play.
Father: "In the name of the Father, Son, and Holy Ghost." Penitent: "Bless me father, I have sinned. It's been about six months since my last confession." Father: "Go on..."…