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Posted inPhilosophy

The Science-Is-Self-Correcting Fallacy

"You know my theory is true," said the grant-wielding scientist, "Because science is self-correcting." That statement is a fallacy because, of course, even supposing that science is self-correcting, there is…
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Posted inStatistics

Yet Another Author Claims Statistically Significant Temperature Change. 99.999%!

Update 6 Sep 2014 Yet another another another study has claimed "statistical significance", this one by Philip Kokica, Steven Crimpc, and Mark Howdend. "A probabilistic analysis of human influence on…
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Posted inCulture

Dan Farber, Berkeley Lawyer, Confused Climate Clinger

For the art of the sophist is the semblance of wisdom without the reality, and the sophist is one who makes money from an apparent but unreal wisdom. ---Aristotle Dan…
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Posted inStatistics

We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t

What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
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Posted inStatistics

Scared Scientists! Climate Terror!

Picture this The heck with evidence: it's how much you care that counts. That sentiment is what's behind Nick Bowers's new Scared Scientists project. Motto: "Nobody is safe"! The far-left…
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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Wrap Up

Profound thanks I cannot say enough about the generosity of my benefactor, who not only footed the bill for my trip, but wined and dined and rummed our Secret Society…
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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Day Two

What happened to Day One? If I find out, you'll be the first to know. Through the extreme generosity of one of us, I'm here in Las Vegas at Heartland's…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probabilities Aren’t Decisions

The title says it all. But its presence implies, and it is true, that people often mistake the two. If you decide to bet fifty bucks the USA beats Germany,…
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  1. John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026

    I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.

  2. Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026

    I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…

  3. JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…

  4. hudbwu on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Hume: "People saying things doesn't translate into rules for living." Stultes: "OMG I can do whatever I want!" If only…

  5. hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026

    @Rudolph Harrier: it's weird that you mention D&D in relation to LLMs. In my experience, nothing shows the utter impotence…

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