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William M. Briggs

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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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Posted inStatistics

Science Confirms Astrology! Plus, Machine Learning, Big Data, And Causes

Health signs The alternate title to today's post, suggested by reader Kip Hansen, is "Data scientists find connections between birth month and health". Don't scoff. We're talking peer review and…
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Posted inStatistics

Machine Learning, Big Data, Deep Learning, Data Mining, Statistics, Decision & Risk Analysis, Probability, Fuzzy Logic FAQ

Last Updated 3 December 2012, 7:24 AM EST. What's the difference between machine learning, deep learning, big data, statistics, decision & risk analysis, probability, fuzzy logic, and all the rest?…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

Cracker Barrel infamously tried changing their homey friendly warm and folksy logo to a stripped down dull almost monotone cool version. To remain "current". They also, reports say, redid the…
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The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science
Posted inStatistics

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
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Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity
Posted inStatistics

Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 2, 2026

    Those humanitarian champions of euthanasia are always champing at the bit, to spring into action, every time someone complains of…

  2. Jess on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 2, 2026

    Locally, a pit-bull was euthanized for killing a child. That's my metric. If they have at least the IQ of…

  3. Joe Jach on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayJune 2, 2026

    Mr Briggs, a belated and happy Memorial day! May our Gracious Lord guide you in all wisdom in your writings,…

  4. Cary Cotterman on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026

    Fry 'em all, let God sort 'em out.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026

    So, "Epsilon Minus" murderers would face the executioner? Maybe you really can fix stupid...

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