Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, and…
Posted inStatistics
(Hot) Air Let Out of California’s Global Warming Lawsuit
The California court climate class ordered by a judge has ended---with everybody agreeing the climate has changed. This is good news. It means anybody who calls an oil company representative…
Posted inStatistics
Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
Posted inStatistics
The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%
If I hear that "97% of scientists agree..." nonsense number just one more time---why, I'll laugh. And why not? It is comedy in its best democratic form. That screwy figure…
Posted inFun Statistics
How’d We Do On Our 2015 Predictions?
The answer to the post title's question is: I'm not so sure. Because why? Because the predictions everybody registered were lost when I was hacked last January. Why was I…
Posted inStatistics
When Colleges Divest, Who Wins? Hint: Not The Colleges
I don't normally do this, but it's a special occasions. Here's a press release from the National Association of Scholars announcing the release of their report Inside Divestment: The Illiberal…
Posted inStatistics
Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper
The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
Posted inCulture
An Exchange with Newsday About Pope Francis
Regular readers will recall that I like to document my interactions with the press, especially the mainstream media. I do this to show the discrepancy from what they are told…