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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture

Are Tests Biased Against Students Who Don’t Care?

The Onion reports on a shocking new statistical study. Warning: some foul language. If the stream doesn't work, click the link below the video window. In The Know: Are Tests…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Shermer Tries, And Fails, To Take Down Chopra

Aurora last night masked by clouds. Saw plenty of bats. Here is a review of another article you might like to read. Michael Shermer, publisher of Skeptic magazine, tried to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson Somethingorother: Against the P-value

I've lost count of the lesson numbers. The definition of a p-value, here phrased in the incorrectly named "test of difference in means", is: Given the truth of a probability…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson Two Again and Again: Logic is Not Opinion

Everybody: thanks for the emails. I do see them. I'll be answering all on the weekend. Would it surprise you to learn that to graduate with a degree in statistics---BS,…
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Posted inCulture

Life Isn’t Fair: Galarraga’s Imperfectly Perfect Game

The decks are awash: the tears have already reached the scuppers, and there's no sign of abatement. The output from the perpetually lachrymose has been prodigious. Even people who aren't…
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Posted inCulture

Sex, Race, Uncertainty, Climate, and More! Saturday Links.

A Saturday collection of fun and interesting stories sent in by readers. Larger Breasts Pay Off for Waitresses Reader Katie sent in this breaking news: a professor from Cornell's Hotel…
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Posted inCulture

Cornell University to Offer Degree in News Anchor Hairdo Studies

Ezra Cornell, a generous man concerned deeply about his country and its culture, when he created his eponymous university in 1868 said, "I would found an institution where any person…
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Posted inStatistics

Calculating the Uncertainty of Economic and Other Forecasts

I was asked to talk about how to handle uncertainty in forecasts. Below is a rough sketch. Many of you run or work with models that produce forecasts, guesses of…
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  1. Max Lybbert on Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?December 22, 2025

    It actually came closer to a fair game than I expected. But as long as there’s a vig, it’s only…

  2. Briggs on Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?December 20, 2025

    Dixon, Say. I have a marvelous idea. Can you guess what is it?

  3. Dixon E Duval on Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?December 20, 2025

    Briggs was such a power house 20 -25 years ago and it is disappointing to see his present day email…

  4. hudbwu on On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble ReviewedDecember 17, 2025

    Funny, many decades ago I wondered why do males exist. As in, why waste 50% of a species' total biomass…

  5. hudbwu on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 17, 2025

    Okay, so the data tells us that if one twin is stupid... er, I mean, if one twin scores low…

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