Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

This week starts Part II of the Class: scientific modeling, in all its glories and, alas, failures. Science is model happy, and judges too often the goodess of models by…
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Laplace infamously calculated the probability, given his evidence, the sun would rise in the east tomorrow at (something like) 0.9999995. Many objected, saying it's much higher. Who was right? Laplace!…