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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Santorum And The ‘S’ Word

President Obama has told us, and we can scarcely disbelieve him, that he is a Christian. At a recent prayer breakfast, Mr Obama said: [The prayer breakfast is] a chance…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Why There’s No Point To Arguing About Abortion

I lifted that title, word for word, from (atheist, self-admitted man-of-the-left, City College emeritus Professor of Sociology) Steven Goldberg's article of the same name from his must-read Fads and Fallacies…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartlandgate Versus Climategate

There are some key differences between Climategate 1.0 and 2.0, where emails from scientists and their hangers on were leaked, and Heartlandgate (am I the first to use this appallingly…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Morality Can’t Be Decided By Vote

These are all old arguments, but since Mr Obama has put us in the mood over the birth control controversy, it is best to revisit them. The dominant thinking is…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartland Documents Leaked, Massaged, Faked

First thing I did, after hearing that the Heartland Institute's budget was leaked, was to pore through it looking for my name in the hopes of seeing how much moola…
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Posted inStatistics

Why Reconstructed Temperatures Via Proxies Are Misleading

This is an edited and expanded re-post from last September; it makes a natural and needed companion to last week's series on how to statistically handle temperature time series, particularly…
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  1. Johnno on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    The NSW government’s Terrorism and Other Legislation Amendment Bill 2025 passed the NSW upper house early on Wednesday morning, 24…

  2. John Pate on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    My current advice to young Britoids is that if conscription hits they should get a "1488" tattoo and post some…

  3. gareth on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    Sadly all true. And more. And not just Blighty gagging for war - quite a few of the Euros too.…

  4. gareth on Climate ModelsDecember 23, 2025

    Dear Briggs: Beware. Your enemies have inserted repetitive and annoying background elevator music into your otherwise excellent explainer video. Maybe…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    If it ever comes down to conscription, the young men of Britain need to collectively say "NO!" They can't arrest…

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