Posted inStatistics
Company Stock And Bond Ratings: Skill and Influential Forecasts
If I tell you that it's not going to rain tomorrow, and it doesn't, then I have given you a successful forecast. If I repeat this success a few times,…
Posted inStatistics
“Climate Calamity” Rejected In Favor Of “Climate Disruption”
President Obama's White House has been hard at work trying to discover another term for global warming. The old phrase was deemed staid and passé, so much so that its…
Posted inStatistics
AMO+PDO = Temperature Variation: One Graph Does Not Says It All
Introduction Anthony Watts over at Watts Up With That?---incidentally, a blog title infinitely superior to "William M. Briggs, Statistician"---asked me to comment on Joe D'Aleo and Don Easterbrook's new paper,…
Posted inStatistics
Peter Principle Particulars: Pluchino Paper Perused
Introduction One summary of the Peter Principle, named after psychologist Laurence J. Peters, is that "in a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to their level of incompetence." Three Italian…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Are We In The Midst Of A Global Extinction Event?
"All Life Ends! Amphibians, Cartilaginous Fishes Hardest Hit." That was the headline yesterday in newspapers all over the country as editors reacted to a press release from Science magazine which…
Posted inStatistics
Influential Forecasts
If I tell you that the price of a stock is going to increase and you believe me enough to rush out and buy that stock, the price of that…
Posted inStatistics
Alcohol More Harmful Than Heroin Or Cocaine?
Belly up to the bar, boys. Have a snort! Reach into that pile of needles and raise them high. I'd like to propose a toast to Professors David Nutt [sic],…
Posted inStatistics
Certain Oral Activities Linked To Intercourse Onset, New Research Suggests
I am thinking of changing the name of this blog to "New Research Suggests", for these three words begin most press releases announcing dubious "scientific" results. Whoever first thought of…
