Posted inStatistics
Comparing McCain’s and Obama’s experience
Don't forget to see today's post, which continues this one Barack Obama served 143 days in the senate and no days in the military before he began his run for…
Posted inStatistics
Wishcasting
Around the 4th of July, here in the States, there is a tendency for official weather forecasts to show a probability of precipitation that is lower than it should be.…
Posted inStatistics
Predict who will win the US Presidential Race
When you have a chance, please log on to https://www.wmbriggs.com/president.php and guess who will win the election this year. This poll closes on 11:50 pm 14 September 2008. No guessing…
Posted inStatistics
More evidence that people are more sure than they should be
From Jerry Pournelle (What? You haven't read Lucifer's Hammer yet?) on how just about everybody making bets in the financial markets were wrong. This "everybody" includes very highly educated, extraordinarily…
Posted inStatistics
Random global warming nuttiness
Many people have been sending me various tidbits about rampant global warming insanity, but it's taking me a long time to get round to posting them. This darn book of…
Posted inStatistics
Why probability isn’t relative frequency
(This is a modified excerpt from my forthcoming---he said hopefully---book, on the subject of why probability cannot be relative frequency. This is to be paired with the essay on why…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Why probability isn’t relative frequency: redux
(Pretend, if you have, that you haven't read my first weak attempt. I'm still working on this, but this gives you the rough idea, and I didn't want to leave…
Posted inPhilosophy
Science is decided by committee
Scientists still do not appear to understand sufficiently that all earth sciences must contribute evidence toward unveiling the state of our planet in earlier times, and that the truth of…
