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What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t
Posted inStatistics

What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t

Now that a Health Insurance guy has been whacked, it's time to review. Here is an expanded version of a thread I did on Twitter---which is all a repeat of…
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Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism
Posted inClass

Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) Link to all…
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Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…
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Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
Posted inStatistics

Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance

Independence implies causality; irrelevance is consistent with logic. A reminder that there is no such thing as unconditional probability. WARNING for those reading the email version! The text below might…
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Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?
Posted inStatistics

Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?

I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
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Power Restored, Posts To Resume
Posted inStatistics

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

When the power came on, I was playing my cheap electric piano, and I had hit the wrong key. Which I hit more wrong than right ones, so that wasn't…
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Science: Even Monkeys Can’t Stand Looking At Kamala, Yet They Predict She Wins
Posted inStatistics

Science: Even Monkeys Can’t Stand Looking At Kamala, Yet They Predict She Wins

Monkeys, specifically rhesus macaques, the word as yet being out on the other primates, though research is doubtless underway (I have my suspicions on orangutans), prefer Trump's face to Kamala's.…
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The Arrogance Of Experts As Conferred by Credentials
Posted inStatistics

The Arrogance Of Experts As Conferred by Credentials

It is an old dialog, and, as much as I dislike cliche, on the reasonable chance that many have not yet seen or heard it, I repeat it here. "Why…
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  1. NLR on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025

    It's a good thing that we don't fully understand intelligence or other topics in psychology or sociology. The knowledge might…

  2. spetzer86 on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025

    If you'd like a wide selection of radio stations from around the world: https://radio.garden/visit/tefe-am/JSbjvYLx is pretty fun. It's always amazing…

  3. Briggs on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025

    bruce, Absolutely nowhere will you find me "rejecting" IQ. The opposite is the case. I go out of my way,…

  4. bruce g charlton on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025

    @WMB - I think you are off on a false trail here. Using "not perfect" as a reason for rejecting…

  5. MikeW on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025

    Radio is not ending sadly. It is happily transitioning to internet streaming radio. My favorite is the Instrumental Channel on…

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