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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

A Citizen’s Guide to Global Warming Evidence

Was it only me? I thought Chicken Little dead. After all, when was the last time we heard competent authority shouting "Only the government can stop the sky from falling!"?…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama Doesn’t Have A Chance

I have returned from a week away from the computer. Announcements to follow tomorrow. I am going to tell you of several conversations in which I took part over the…
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Posted inStatistics

Supreme Court And Proposition 8: A Few Thoughts

One of the more curious tidbits to arise out of yesterday's oral arguments (pdf) over California's Prop 8 was that that state's constitution has been amended some 500 times. Those…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Good Ways Of Speaking About Truth

"Quid est veritas?" Pilate asked. Famously, his interlocutor did not answer, perhaps because Pilate didn't give Him the chance. Then Pilate may have been (understandably) addled because the Answer was…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists Claim Brain Scans Can ID Pre-Criminals

"I'm sorry, sir. We cannot recommend Mr Jones be granted parole," said the man in the impressive white coat, on which was embroidered his name and the awe-inspiring initials "MD".…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Physical Anthropology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part V

Read Part IV. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question V is Physical Anthropology. The most contentious question…
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Posted inStatistics

Thinking About Dying Or Just Saw Bad Art? Pop A Tylenol, Say Researchers

At last justice! Psychologists are finally admitting that surrealism is painful. Take that starchitects! In your face performance artists! Swallow bitter pills transgressive painters! Actually, swallow Tylenol, because new research…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part I

Definitions We first have to define what subjectivity and objectivity are and from these see what happens. For those unused to reading long stretches of prose, here is the conclusion,…
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  1. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025

    @Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…

  2. Maypo on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Wow, (re)reading a TOFian essay makes it so blasted plain how much I miss the man. May he rest in…

  3. C-Marie on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    God is, and always has been, and always will be. It is your choice to exercise your free will, to…

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    > If I were God, and loved rational creatures, I would make myriad rational species; He should come back in…

  5. NLR on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    What gets me about these kind of arguments is that they presuppose too much. People will have extensive debates about…

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