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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics

There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
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Posted inStatistics

Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?

It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
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Posted inStatistics

The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?

There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
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Posted inCulture

It’s Time For A New (Old) Kind Of University: Update

Consider these news items: "At Western Michigan University, it is considered harassment to hold a 'condescending sex-based attitude.'...Tufts University in Boston proscribes the holding of 'sexist attitudes,'... At Northeastern University,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Argument Against Same-Sex Marriage, Part I

In a further effort to increase my leisure time (by reducing my chance of employment), presented here for your edification an argument against same-sex "marriage" in the form of an…
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Posted inCulture

New Senate Bill Says Government Can Access Your On-line Info Without Warrant

Vermont Senator Patrick Leahy, Democrat---The Party of Freedom™ (Government freedom, that is)---has forgotten the following words: The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and…
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Posted inCulture

Job Hunting Guanxi Style—Guest Post by William J. Briggs

The very employable W.J. Briggs, number one son of Yours Truly, lives and blogs in Brooklyn. Looking for work is a bit daunting these days. Job websites abound, but every…
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Posted inCulture

Germany To Ban Sex With Animals

I lifted today's title from an article in Sydney's The Telegraph. I don't know about you, but my jaw flung open as if on a spring after comprehending the tense…
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  1. polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…

  2. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…

  3. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025

    @Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…

  4. Maypo on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Wow, (re)reading a TOFian essay makes it so blasted plain how much I miss the man. May he rest in…

  5. C-Marie on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    God is, and always has been, and always will be. It is your choice to exercise your free will, to…

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