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Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback
Posted inStatistics

Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback

Apologies to regular readers, but I got real busy the past few days. So just a mini-update on our model, which will be useful for making a couple of small…
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Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, and…
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Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus,…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
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  1. Lucy Tucker on Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”October 14, 2025

    Scidolator. I like it.

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    Brad, I tend to fear, based on what I've been told by the religious, as well as what's in the…

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    Science gives me all kinds of faith. When a leaf falls, the physics gives me a rough idea of what…

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    This atheist is where he is largely because the term atheist keeps the religious zealots at bay. The proprietor of…

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    Evidence is not accepted on faith; that is what evidence consists of: it is immediately grasped. Demonstrations begin in the…

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