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Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
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Coronavirus Update XXI: Calm Down! Record Testing Is Why There Are Record “Cases”
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXI: Calm Down! Record Testing Is Why There Are Record “Cases”

OHNOWE'REALLGOINGTODIE---AGAIN! Look at this plot, the number of daily COVID tests in the US, according to the COVID-19 tracking project. So far, since the start of the insanity, there have…
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Coronavirus Update X: Juicing The Numbers, Prolonging The Pain
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update X: Juicing The Numbers, Prolonging The Pain

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback
Posted inStatistics

Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback

Apologies to regular readers, but I got real busy the past few days. So just a mini-update on our model, which will be useful for making a couple of small…
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Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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  1. When Chief Editors’ reviews go off the rails: Frontiers’/Dr. Eddy Davelaar’s criticism of our accepted meta-analysis and our detailed response – bobuttl.org on The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been VerifiedJune 5, 2025

    […] William M. Briggs (2024, Feb 8): The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified… […]

  2. Milton Hathaway on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I seem to be missing something here. The "Average CD" chart shows a marked decline, while the "Total Papers" chart…

  3. Uncle Mike on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    The problem, in a nutshell, is the trending longitudinal bibliometrics of stochastic heuristics. Vouchsafe the imperative and quotidian drivel perpetuates.

  4. Milton Hathaway on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 4, 2025

    There is a well-known phenomenon in my occupation (engineering), and, I assume, in many other occupations. By nature, engineers love…

  5. brad.tittle on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I take umbrage with that attack on being nice... Then I look in the mirror and realize that I haven't…

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