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Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Update On Gun Crime: Downward Bound. Vote Accordingly

Elections are nearing and some of our friends are worried about guns. Measures are on ballots, votes are urged; that sort of thing. Nerves are raw, tempers are flared. Now…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Jerry Coyne Has A Go At Pope Francis. Shoots Self In Foot

Since it's Halloween, we may as well examine the spooks, hobgoblins, and bogeymen which taunt and haunt the minds of our public undead, which is to say, our intellectuals. Now…
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Posted inStatistics

Class Report: How Not To Teach Statistics

It's over. Two solid weeks of 9 to 5 to 9 and beyond statistics. Plus a few cocktails and cookouts and camaraderie. I'm exhausted. The students are mostly later early…
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Posted inStatistics

Democrats Received 42% More Donations Than Republicans, Even Including Koch Brothers

Open Secrets tracks donations made to political parties in the States, a difficult thing to do, particularly since Americans can give in many different ways. Press reports on money are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Nine Counter-Arguments To Frequentism

It is well to collect cogent proofs of frequentism's failings so that supporters of that theory can look upon them and find joy. Alan Hájek has done yeoman service in…
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Posted inStatistics

William M. Briggs Sez: Keep That Impressive Middle Initial

You can take it from William M. Briggs, and also from the Today show: sporting a middle initial is a mark of sophistication, intelligence, and rugged manliness---or womanliness, as the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Decadence Data: Or, A Doomed Demos Dances

All of these indicators of our quickening hoot-hollering yeah-baby! slide into the muck made the news on the same day. We dare not cast our net wider for fear of…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Hall of Fame essay. Post this again and often, whenever you have an opening.

  2. John M on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Peer review: Larry and Curlie agreeing Moe has a good idea.

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 19, 2026

    It's always "I'm right, because all the experts say I'm right. You wouldn't want to disagree with the experts, would…

  4. John M on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    Genesis 3:13 And the LORD God said unto the woman, What is this that thou hast done? And the woman…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    I can't read the titles or the excerpts without laughing out loud. They are comedy gold.

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