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The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
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SCOTUS & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
Posted inCulture

SCOTUS & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy

The State always, or at least when it does not sleep, seeks to impose its beliefs on everybody. It does this through the creation of laws, which most people (except…
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Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
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Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates

See the new analysis at the bottom, prompted by a question from Joe Bastardi. Update I have two words for the people who did this. You know what they are.…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: The Consent Fallacy Applied To Fornication And Sodomy
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Consent Fallacy Applied To Fornication And Sodomy

Previous post. Our good saint did not use the name Consent Fallacy, but we see it in the first argument. No real comment is necessary here: the saint's words are…
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The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…
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Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
Posted inStatistics

Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition

I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that's out of the way, let's get to the paper "Air pollution-induced missed…
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The Epidemiologist (P-value + Ecological) Fallacy Exposed (Video)
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist (P-value + Ecological) Fallacy Exposed (Video)

Video Link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GV-IRdTWG2c The Epidemiologist Fallacy marries the Ecological Fallacy with the P-value Fallacy. The Ecological Fallacy is when it is said X causes Y, but X is not measured,…
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  1. John Pate on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    Surely America is a province of Israel now - didn't they just merge the armed forces?

  2. C-Marie on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    So it is. Do read John Adams by David Mccullough ..... an excellent read ... and the marital love berween…

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    If any celebrity actors or mainstream, non-Fox news outlets did 250th anniversary messages now, they'd be about made-up or exaggerated…

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    Our 250th birthday isn't for another 13 years in 2039. It's been 250 years since Independence Day, but we had…

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    I arranged to stretch out my studies so that I would still be in Montreal for the 1976 Olympic games.…

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