Posted inCulture
SCOTUS & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
The State always, or at least when it does not sleep, seeks to impose its beliefs on everybody. It does this through the creation of laws, which most people (except…
Posted inStatistics
Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates
See the new analysis at the bottom, prompted by a question from Joe Bastardi. Update I have two words for the people who did this. You know what they are.…
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT
Summary Against Modern Thought: The Consent Fallacy Applied To Fornication And Sodomy
Previous post. Our good saint did not use the name Consent Fallacy, but we see it in the first argument. No real comment is necessary here: the saint's words are…
Posted inStatistics
The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy
Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…
Posted inStatistics
Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that's out of the way, let's get to the paper "Air pollution-induced missed…
Posted inStatistics
The Epidemiologist (P-value + Ecological) Fallacy Exposed (Video)
Video Link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GV-IRdTWG2c The Epidemiologist Fallacy marries the Ecological Fallacy with the P-value Fallacy. The Ecological Fallacy is when it is said X causes Y, but X is not measured,…
Posted inStatistics
The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism
Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…