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Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic
Posted inClass

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…
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Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs
Posted inPhilosophy

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Headline from MSN: "Jewish senators alarmed by Alito’s pro-Christian agenda". Jewish Democratic senators are alarmed by conservative Justice Samuel Alito’s sympathy for basing government on Christian principles — something he…
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Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 
Posted inStatistics

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
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Somebody Might Get Hurt!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Somebody Might Get Hurt!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Posted inStatistics

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
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Big Muscles: Experts Know Best
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Big Muscles: Experts Know Best

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…
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  1. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  2. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

  3. shawn marshall on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Let us not discredit the demonic.

  4. Cary Cotterman on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Blair: "...lightning came inside and chased her to a back bedroom." Anyone who can outrun lightning, even if it's only…

  5. McChuck on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    I knew a fellow win the Army who had been struck by lightning three times. Whenever he heard thunder, he…

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