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Posted inStatistics

The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The I-Have-Big-Muscles Fallacy

Harvard graduate walks down the street where a 50-lb sack of cement blocks his way. He reaches down to shift it but discovers that despite all his might the bulk…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Apes Do It So It’s Fine For Us Fallacy

< I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

March For Politics, Scientism & Scidolatry

Stream: March For Politics, Scientism & Scidolatry. The upcoming March for Science---check with your nearest purple-haired activist for directions and times---is to no one's surprise turning out to be one…
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Posted inStatistics

Eliminate The P-Value (and Bayes Factor) Altogether & Replace It With This

Good news and bad news. Good news it that there is a growing number of people who are aware that p-values are sinking science and they want to do something,…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part I

This series originally began 5 August 2012. The links to the remainder are below. Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part…
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Posted inCulture

British Politician Tim Farron Fails To Say Gay Sex Isn’t Sinful, Suffers Celebrity Scorn

The particular personages in this story are not what's most interesting, nor is the outcome of the UK politics which started it. What is fascinating is the browbeating and indignation…
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Posted inCulture

We Are Not The Government — Guest Post by Kevin Groenhagen

Dave Johnson posted an article on the Huffington Post entitled "Things Change When We Realize WE Are the Government." According to Johnson, "The Constitution of the United States and of…
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