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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Observational Versus Controlled Trials

Received this email from a reader: I took on board all I read on your website, and it has created confusion in my mind. I have been reading Ioannidis and…
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Posted inStatistics

Johnson’s Revised Standards For Statistical Evidence

Thanks to the many readers who sent me Johnson's paper, which is here (pdf). Those who haven't will want to read "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof", the material…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Obamacare Predictions: How’d We Do So Far?

One of life's real pleasures, though it lessens us to admit it, is when we get to say I told you so. Nobody in the world, except those who believe…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Boston Globe’s Failed Assassination Of Willie Soon

Christopher Rowland, the Washington Bureau Chief for the Boston Globe, is not a child molester. The Boston Globe has covered child molestation stories, suspiciously at times when Rowland was with…
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Posted inCulture

What Happens When Research Yields Unpopular Findings

After learning the gabbling Stephan Lewandowsky was able to complain in the Associate for Psychological Science's Observer magazine that some loon called him a self-contradictory bad name, I became curious…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal & Barzun On Scientism

Blaise Pascal was a man smarter than I and smarter than thou. He was a scientist, mathematician, probabilist, and was deeply, deeply Catholic. Pascal as scientist warned against trusting science…
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Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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  1. Tars Tarkas on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    I seriously doubt 82.4 degrees hampers the action in any event. These are young male world class athletes in the…

  2. spetzer86 on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    If they wanted temperatures below 82F in the American mid-West they should've scheduled for Nov-Feb. Imagine a Twin Cities game…

  3. Tony Cooke on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    Maybe they should move all the games to the tropics. That would slow things down to the point of such…

  4. Briggs on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    JH, You are very rare. A lot of teachers are strict. Of course, we are all constrained by Nature's Author…

  5. John Pate on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 9, 2026

    Even the most die hard London School fundamentalist (like me) would acknowledge the many problems with IQ tests but you're…

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