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Posted inStatistics

Richard Muller’s Political Move—BEST is Best? Sophisticated Statistics!

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. Ah,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

We Are All Eugenicists Now: New Test Identifies 3,500 Genetic “Faults” In Fetuses — Update

See the crucial update below. I was assured, several times, that my second son was to be my first daughter. The doctors who told me this had performed certain tests,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Are There Any Arguments Against Eugenics Left?

Most, or even all, progressives say they are against eugenics. Yet most, or all, progressives were against the recent Prenatal Nondiscrimination Act which would have outlawed sex-selective abortions in these…
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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Gloom, Despair, Email Spoofing, And Kahan’s Science Literacy Paper

Somebody spoofed my Yahoo email address which I use for ordering, registrations and the like. Sent hundreds of emails to my contact list yesterday. Now I ordinarily run Linux, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scientific Truths Are Not Better Truths Than Just-Plain Truths

One of the key fallacies of scientism, in the sense of being the most destructive to common sense and personal wellbeing, is to suppose that any theory put forth in…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Heartland Institute Accomplishes Act To Self Once Thought Physically Impossible

At the risk of losing the argument before it begins, let me ask you two questions. Number One: What do Adolph Hitler, Mao Tse-tung, serial killer and eater Jeffrey Dahmer,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Dire And Depressing Implications Of Science As Scientism: Two Introductions

A long introduction... Scientism is the fallacy that all that is known and all that can be known, can only be known through scientific methods: that which is testable is…
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  1. JH on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayDecember 8, 2025

    Adding a constant of 200 to the equation will not eliminate the so-called probability leakage, which is essentially a result…

  2. JH on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 8, 2025

    With m = (1,2,3,4,5,6) x 10, and a = 0.02, then Pr(E_b|mB) = 0.99998. So the weird m would indeed…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    Efforts to codify the purpose of the universe may constitute a sort of Faustian impulse. For my part, I'm satisfied…

  4. Gwyneth on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    A while back, in the heat of an argument, a man stated that, "There is only one reality." I replied…

  5. _Jim on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineDecember 8, 2025

    Of those poo-poohing, how many of you have read-up on the (many now) apparitions throughout history? Fatima, Loudres, Our Lady…

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