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“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
Posted inStatistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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Reviewed: The Great Awakening Vs The Great Reset by Alexander Dugin
Posted inBook review

Reviewed: The Great Awakening Vs The Great Reset by Alexander Dugin

The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar this Friday, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. Given that Vladimir Putin's…
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Why Experts Hate Racial Differences In Intelligence
Posted inStatistics

Why Experts Hate Racial Differences In Intelligence

Steve Sailer highlights an interesting new paper on "cognitive ability" and genetic ancestry (which, in an effort to forestall criticism, perhaps, Sailer calls a "scientific paper"). It's "Linear and partially…
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Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race
Posted inPhilosophy

Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race

There are many positions on IQ, the so-called intelligence quotient, but most fall into two camps. Those who reject IQ measures outright, because racism, and those who claim people have…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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Class 8: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: What Probability Is 1
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 8: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: What Probability Is 1

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute Link to all Classes. HOMEWORK THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS UNCONDITIONAL PROBABILITY, I.E. THERE IS NO Pr(A), only Pr(A|B).…
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Reconciling Mike Flynn & Fr Ripperger On Evolution: Creation or Completion of New Essences?
Posted inPhilosophy

Reconciling Mike Flynn & Fr Ripperger On Evolution: Creation or Completion of New Essences?

The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar this Friday, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. The Beginning Before we…
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  1. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…

  2. gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…

  3. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  5. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

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