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Posted inBook review Statistics

My Genes Made Me Vote For Obama: Predisposed Reviewed

Predisposed: Liberals, Conservatives, and the Biology of Political Differences by John Hibbing, Kevin Smith, and John Alford. If a conservative is a person who clings to what is, who resists…
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Posted inStatistics

Every Family Has Children Until They Have A Boy: Probability Stumper

Reader Bryan Davies quoted a poser from Math Overflow (have we heard of that?) which read: In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Boston Globe’s Failed Assassination Of Willie Soon

Christopher Rowland, the Washington Bureau Chief for the Boston Globe, is not a child molester. The Boston Globe has covered child molestation stories, suspiciously at times when Rowland was with…
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Posted inCulture Fun

We Do Not Discriminate On The Basis Of…Contest! Winner Declared!

Yours Truly is always on the lookout for teaching jobs, since that is his passion and where his skills lie, and so is well familiar with the application process at…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky—And Profitable—Business: Part I

Not a trick question: what's the difference between a risk of one in ten million and one of two in ten million? The official answer is "Not much." Though I…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming To Cause New Crisis. What Will It Be?

Seems the Arctic ice sheet has refused to do what it was told by computer models. The models "conservatively" insisted the ice would be gone entirely by 2013, yet the…
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Posted inStatistics

The 0.3% “Consensus”—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025

    The answer is a question: what did you expect the counts to be? On what premises did you base your…

  2. JH on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025

     Then some decision rule that says “This much departure from uniformity means loading.” Which rule may be different for you…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, but you haven't answered my question, either then or now. The last time I asked, I got this…

  4. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Or, Willis, you could take the course, study the classes, do the homework. Then, quite possibly, or even probably, you…

  5. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Willis, I have answered the question each and every time. Go back and look at when you asked, and you'll…

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