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Posted inStatistics

Scientific Forecasts, Not Scenarios, For Climate Policy—Guest Post by J. Scott Armstrong

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments

Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2013 Predictions?

We have proved yet again that the future is that undiscovered country with our predictions for 2013. See the original guesses here. Don't make new predictions here. Tomorrow I'll start…
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Posted inStatistics

North Korea’s Brilliant Climate Change Strategy

Originally seen on Real Science, and culled from the US Department of Energy (thank you, Government!), comes this informative picture: Environmental activists are surely taking notes on the Democratic People's…
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Posted inFun

Merry Christmas And Thanks For Another Year

Now we can't say that the best of the best and the brightest of the brightest blog readers stop by here on a regular basis, because that would be immodest…
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Posted inStatistics

Why Falsifiability, Though Flawed, Is Alluring: Part II Climate Model Example

Three-card Monte Pseudo FalsificationRead Part I Take the various theories of the doom which await us when global warming finally strikes. Like Sharknadoes. Or, better, take the theory of global…
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Posted inStatistics

The Protocols Of The Elders Of Big Oil

Before you're used to it, it can be both fascinating and amusing to listen to the ravings of a lunatic. The way they can weave tales of persecution and nefarious…
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Posted inFun

Global warming causes prostitution!

Update Moved up to allow comments. Originally posted November 2009. The Beaujolais nouveau (just got in my case for this year) shot out my nose when I saw this, the…
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