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Posted inStatistics

Richard Muller’s Political Move—BEST is Best? Sophisticated Statistics!

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. Ah,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part I

Probability is screwy, and we statisticians do a horrible, rotten job of teaching it. The first thing students learn in normal statistics classes is about "measures of central tendency" or…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Decline And Increase Of Mainstream Religions In The USA: With Pictures!

The Episcopals, like many other old guard protesting religions, are in trouble. Jay Akasie tells us that at this year's annual conclave, the Episcopalian leadership had their most serious discussions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More On The 1 in 1.6 Million Heat Wave Chance

Yesterday we looked at NCDC's claim that the 13-month stretch of "above-normal" temperatures had only a 1 in 1.6 million chance of occurring. Let's today clarify the criticism. The NCDC…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Chance Of Heat Wave Only 1 in 1.6 Million? Or, Probability Gone Wrong

My dad took a swing with his nine-iron and the wiffle simulacrum of a golf ball took flight, arched upwards, spun left and, without bouncing, landed atop my favorite blade…
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Posted inCulture

July 4th: It’s Summer And It’s Hot

[To be sung to the obvious tune] I have a sad story to tell you It might upset you a bit Last night I walked on the sidewalk And it…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Heartland Institute Accomplishes Act To Self Once Thought Physically Impossible

At the risk of losing the argument before it begins, let me ask you two questions. Number One: What do Adolph Hitler, Mao Tse-tung, serial killer and eater Jeffrey Dahmer,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Why Republicans Deny Science—And Reality: Request For Help

Update The link to Sam Harris's abysmal study are now provided. That is the (modified) subtitle of the sanctimoniously self-satisfied Chris Mooney's new book, "The Republican Brain: The Science of…
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  1. C-Marie on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    FOR CERTAIN, JOHNNO, JESUS IS LORD, AND NO OTHER!!! GOD BLESS, C-MARIE

  2. Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "“How many souls make it to Heaven” is an attribute that can’t be expressed with variable data." We can at…

  3. Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "What does it mean to say that “a religion is true”? IF? does this imply there are fake religions?" Yes.…

  4. Johnno on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 17, 2026

    Doctors also eat at McDonald's. I have seen them. I have evidence! I dare say, some even hold stock options…

  5. John M on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026

    "How many souls make it to Heaven" is an attribute that can't be expressed with variable data.

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