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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Of Loeb’s “Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty”

The paper is "Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty" by Norman Loeb and others in the journal Nature Geoscience. I'm pressed for time, so for…
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Posted inStatistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part IV

There is a technical distinction between a scenario and a prediction, though the line is fine and often disputable. Many scenarios are merely intolerably loose, and therefore useless, predictions. The…
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Posted inStatistics

D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews

Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
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Posted inStatistics

Of Course Human Caused Climate Change Is Real

"In a survey last year by the National Academy of Sciences, 97 percent to 98 percent of climate researchers agreed with the premise that humans are causing climate change." So…
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Posted inCulture

Al Gore Says Climate Skeptics Are Racist

The Algore, a creature created from worn parts of defunct Tennessee Politicians---the vile experiment funded by Big Tobacco---a creature made wealthy by his wailing, awash in the money of Big…
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Posted inStatistics

Reading Spencer’s Radiation Paper; Polar Bears Flap: Scientist Under Investigation

Thanks to all the readers who have altered me to Roy Spencer and William Braswell's new paper, "On the Misdiagnosis of Surface Temperature Feedbacks from Variations in Earth's Radiant Energy…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I’m Happy To Help, Judith Curry: Overconfidence In IPCC’s Detection And Attribution

Thanks to reader Roger Cohen for brining this to my attention. Atmospheric scientist Judith Curry recently ran a series of blog posts entitled, "Overconfidence in IPCC’s detection and attribution." In…
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Posted inStatistics

The CRU “climategate” proxy code: a primer

I'm just getting into the CRU code: it's a lot of material and everything I say here about it is preliminary. Some of you will know what I'm going to…
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