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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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The Mathematical Trick Guaranteed To Win You A Nobel Prize
Posted inStatistics

The Mathematical Trick Guaranteed To Win You A Nobel Prize

My friends, the title is not hyperbole. The scheme I present below will work. But it will require some hard work to get there. Which is only proper, since we…
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Modulation of Ice Ages – Without CO2 — Guest Post by Ralph Ellis
Posted inStatistics

Modulation of Ice Ages – Without CO2 — Guest Post by Ralph Ellis

Ellis sent me his paper "Modulation of Ice-ages via Precession and Dust-Albedo Feedbacks" in Geoscience Frontiers, and I found it rather intriguing. To greatly simplify: CO2 is good for you,…
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GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There
Posted inStatistics

GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There

I have a new paper with the Global Warming Policy Foundation (if you search for them on Google, that company does not give the url, lest you be corrupted by…
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How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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UPDATE: Everything We Warned About Official Disinformation Requiring Official Truths Was True
Posted inCulture Podcast

UPDATE: Everything We Warned About Official Disinformation Requiring Official Truths Was True

Experimenting with the podcast format. My voice is still not back to normal. If I did it right, the podcast is also at Spotify. If anybody uses it, please let…
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There Is No Climate Emergency: So Say Us All
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Climate Emergency: So Say Us All

I am one of the more than one thousand scientists and related professionals who signed the World Climate Declaration, an effort started by a friend of ours Marcel Crok and…
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  1. When Chief Editors’ reviews go off the rails: Frontiers’/Dr. Eddy Davelaar’s criticism of our accepted meta-analysis and our detailed response – bobuttl.org on The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been VerifiedJune 5, 2025

    […] William M. Briggs (2024, Feb 8): The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified… […]

  2. Milton Hathaway on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I seem to be missing something here. The "Average CD" chart shows a marked decline, while the "Total Papers" chart…

  3. Uncle Mike on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    The problem, in a nutshell, is the trending longitudinal bibliometrics of stochastic heuristics. Vouchsafe the imperative and quotidian drivel perpetuates.

  4. Milton Hathaway on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 4, 2025

    There is a well-known phenomenon in my occupation (engineering), and, I assume, in many other occupations. By nature, engineers love…

  5. brad.tittle on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I take umbrage with that attack on being nice... Then I look in the mirror and realize that I haven't…

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