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The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.
Posted inFun

The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.

What's Up? Time for our biannual update, dear readers. My forays into this new thing called "video" have, at long last, begun. It took me so long because I do…
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All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Posted inStatistics

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
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Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence
Posted inStatistics

Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence

There is no typo in the title. We are discussing The Science, and not science. Science-sans-article is chugging along, doing okay there, and poorly there, the whole decaying for all…
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Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors
Posted inStatistics

Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors

Today's title is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper "The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data",…
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Don’t Just Do Something, Stand There!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Don’t Just Do Something, Stand There!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of Voting
Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of Voting

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right
Posted inPhilosophy

I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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  1. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  3. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

  5. hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025

    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

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