Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inCulture
An Unorthodox Murder Mystery — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Chicago is a very dangerous place for young Black men. It seems it's also very dangerous for Men-In-Black. Monomakhos received the following report that three GOA priests, who were actively…
Posted inStatistics
On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…
Posted inBook review Culture
How Do We Stage A Coup In The USA? Part II
These being slow days, and out cold civil war heating up by degree, especially with the deep state faux impeachment, it seems proper to revisit the idea of a coup,…
Posted inBook review Culture
How Do We Stage A Coup In The USA? Part I
These being slow days, and out cold civil war heating up by degree, especially with the deep state faux impeachment, it seems proper to revisit the idea of a coup,…
Posted inFun
Most Controversial Book Of The Decade Coming Early 2020!
Spread good cheer, the book is here! Well, not here, but it's on its way. I have decided to bring " [MYSTERY TITLE] " out myself (title reveal coming soon).…