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Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty
Posted inClass Statistics

Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty

Let's drag the statistician's hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we…
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Summary Against Modern Thought:  Celestial Bodies Don’t Control Our Will
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Celestial Bodies Don’t Control Our Will

Previous post. Celestial bodies don't control our intellects or wills; though they may control our bodies. Well, the moon's gravitation, for instance, does do something to us. THAT THE CELESTIAL…
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The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes
Posted inClass Statistics

The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes

The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…
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Sphere Eversion, Free Will & Infinite Powers
Posted inPhilosophy

Sphere Eversion, Free Will & Infinite Powers

Can a sphere be turned inside out, such that the outside becomes the inside, and vice versa, without creasing or tearing or poking a hole in the sphere? Obviously not.…
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Witchcraft Is Spellbinding To Our Elites
Posted inCulture

Witchcraft Is Spellbinding To Our Elites

Many will argue it was inevitable that women's "liberation" would give rise to witchcraft. Women have a greater need than men for the emotional, especially in matters of love and…
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SAT’s Adversity Score New Way To Enforce Racial Quotas
Posted inStatistics

SAT’s Adversity Score New Way To Enforce Racial Quotas

The College Board will soon attach Pity Points to SAT scores. The Pity Points will be used to suggest that those who scored poorly did not in fact score poorly…
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Post-Approval Drug Failures: More Reasons To Eliminate P-values & Parameter-Centric Methods
Posted inStatistics

Post-Approval Drug Failures: More Reasons To Eliminate P-values & Parameter-Centric Methods

Some comments on the JAMA: Internal Medicine article "An International Perspective on Drugs for Cancer: The Best of Times, the Worst of Times" by Richard Lehman. Drugs increase fast, and…
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Six Thousand Years Of History
Posted inCulture

Six Thousand Years Of History

If you ask a physicist "Why can't objects go faster than light? That there should be a limit doesn't seem right to me", he will abuse you. He'll start off…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  2. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  3. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

  4. JH on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    Maybe you mean “knowledge” instead of “belief.” When my daughter was in ninth grade, I asked her about evidence for…

  5. gareth on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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