Posted inPhilosophy
How The Laws Of Physics Lie
The title is Nancy Cartwright's, from her book of the same name, and from an article which forms Chapter 3, "Do the Laws of Physics State the Facts?" No, she…
Posted inPodcast Statistics
How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example
This post is also available as a podcast. My voice improves. We're working on putting these into a regular feed. Or watch at YouTube. In my not-yet-banned talk on the…
Posted inStatistics
On The Limitations of AI: Predictions
This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…
Posted inStatistics
The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
Posted inStatistics
How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
Posted inFun
We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like
Headline: "Newark, New Jersey, set a record at 102 degrees with a feels like temperature of 109 degrees." Thus are Newarkians (Newarkers?) denied the opportunity of knowing what a temperature…
Posted inPodcast Statistics
Media Blames Heatwave On Global Warming: I Say Nope
Okay, hold the emails. I changed the title to "global warming." I used "global cooling" originally only because it irritates to a great extent the ignorant who are always chanting…
Posted inStatistics
How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?
I'm happy to report that we had a good crop of predictions for 2024. As is usual, I only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave.…
