Search Results for “heat” – Page 75

The Applicability Of Experiments

Every probability problem has the form Pr(Q|E), where Q is the proposition of interest and E the evidence, premises, or "data" probative (or not) of E. Change the evidence, change…

Statistics

Failed Counterexamples To The Principle Of Indifference

What is the so-called Principle Of Indifference? A semi-screwy, semi-right idea in probability. To cadge an example from David Stove, let T be any tautology (a truth), then Pr(Bob…

Fun

IPCC Intensifies Search For Missing Global Warming

We all know, agree, believe, and desire that the end is nigh, that the tipping point to climate chaos is only minutes away, that we've already seen and suffered the…

Culture

Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!

Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…

Culture Fun

Finally! Global Warming, The Musical

Our beneficent government gave $700,000 dollars to a theatre troup to create the musical The Great Immensity. Maybe you didn't catch that. Our most giving righteous wise government, through its…

Book review Culture Statistics

Party’s Over, Baby: The Twilight of Abundance Reviewed

The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short by David Archibald, visiting Fellow Institute of World Politics. I am a curmudgeon, which…

Statistics

How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming

Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…

Philosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part I

It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…

hudbwu on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026
Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…
NLR on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026
The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…
Robert Arvanitis on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026
Of course the arithmetic is correct. And as with drugs, drinks and sex, gambling is potentially addictive. ON THE other…
John Pate on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 11, 2026
It occurred to me that what we can see on that graph gives us a different interpretation of cause and…
McChuck on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 11, 2026
O/T, but pertinent to our Gracious Host, who might just be one of the best possible candidates: "Speaking of which,…