Posted inStatistics
Dear Ben Santer
Dear Ben, How was your trip to D.C.? Were you nervous when you testified before Congress about how ridiculous climate science in the public has become? I read that you…
Posted inFun
My Secret To Win At Gambling Finally Revealed
One of the difficulties that world-famous public personalities such as myself face is that people think we have the answer for every question. That isn't true. It's only mostly true.…
Socialist Math Textbook Exercises
This post was inspired by an exchange we had in the review of Thomas Sowell's new book. You know how bad math classes have become. What makes it worse is…
Posted inFun
Questions of Kagan, the WHO, and Your Right to Eat Pizza
Kagan Court The blogs are abuzz with ridiculous discussions of Ms Kagan's sexuality. For example, Andrew Sullivan is his normal self. Even conservatives are taking great pains to say that…
Posted inFun
I’m Sick of All These Climate Skeptic Deniers
There are a lot of people out there---unqualified, un-degreed, un-peer-reviewed people---who actively reject the consensus among climate skeptics. These people are rank deniers. These bold casuistry mongers should cause us…
Posted inStatistics
My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions
Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and…
Posted inCulture
Goldman Sachs, Bubbles, Global Warming, and Statistics
Matt Taibbi's article on Goldman Sachs, "The Great American Bubble Machine" is up and should be read (you'll have already seen it if you homepage, as you should, Arts &…
Posted inStatistics
Calculating the Uncertainty of Economic and Other Forecasts
I was asked to talk about how to handle uncertainty in forecasts. Below is a rough sketch. Many of you run or work with models that produce forecasts, guesses of…
