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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The EPA, Dust, And The Ecological Fallacy

In last night's Republican debate, the candidates were asked if they could eliminate just one federal agency, which one would it be? Herman Cain chose the EPA: The first --…
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Posted inStatistics

UN: Population To Swell To 15 Billion By 2100

It took two- to three-hundred thousand years for humans to break the 7 billion mark, which it is scheduled to do sometime late this year or early in 2012. But…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Another Reason To Abandon P-values; Or Another Way To Cheat

If you're a scientist, soft or hard, who routinely uses statistics, it's likely that your funding, and therefore your career, the very wellness of your being hinges on discovering statistically…
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Posted inFun

Mathematical Magic Trick: 8 4-Digit Numbers Summing To 35712?

From reader Noble Abraham comes this question: Is it possible to create a pool of distinct four digit numbers, so that the sum of 8 randomly chosen numbers from this…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inStatistics

A Pill To Eliminate Racism? What’ll Science Think Of Next!

Publishable p-values If it weren't for the miracle of statistics, specifically the p-value, a device which can be used to "prove" anything, scientists would have a lot more time on…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scientists Too Sure Of Themselves: Except, Of Course, Climatologists And Neuroscientists

Since most of us are ill inclined to labor until Monday next, I don't want to post anything of momentous importance until then---accepting, as we must, that all that appears…
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  1. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  2. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  3. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  4. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  5. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

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