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Posted inStatistics

Scientific Forecasts, Not Scenarios, For Climate Policy—Guest Post by J. Scott Armstrong

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…
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Posted inStatistics

Coming Out Christian: Guest Post by Hut Evenest

Readers should understand bestiality is allowed in many countries. Hut Evenest is a writer from Finland, a country in which the practice is legal. Their preferred term is zoophilia. The…
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Posted inFun Statistics

My Complete And Utter Lack Of Business Sense

I can derive the Omega equation, can tell you why clouds float, and I know what number comes after א0, but I couldn't sell fire to an Eskimo. Not for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Falsifiability, Though Flawed, Is Alluring: Part I

A theory is said not to be scientific unless it is falsifiable. This is an understandable definition, but as something philosophically useful it fails because most theories scientists hold are…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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Posted inStatistics

End Of The World Set For 2047. Plan Accordingly

Bob Geldorf (and who the hell is he?) was off by seventeen years. But then I read he's a singer and no professional climatologist. Since he's some big hoo-hah celebrity,…
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    I thought this was one of the strategies the casinos use to give the house an edge.

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