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Posted inStatistics

Ross Douthat’s Preferential Option for Climate Catastrophe

Stream: Ross Douthat's Preferential Option for Climate Catastrophe. This article is in answer to Ross Douthat's, a.k.a. Lt Keefer's, column "Neither Hot Nor Cold on Climate" in which he impugned…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Static Theory of Time and Free Will — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

It is often argued that if the block universe theory of time is correct then people lack free will. The reason for this contention is because on a B-theory of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Every Result Of Unsupervised Learning Is Correct; Or, All Learning Is Supervised

The real point I wish to make is that there is no such thing as unsupervised learning; or, stated another way, Truth exists; or, stated another way, every solution to…
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Posted inStatistics

New Paper! A Volatile Discourse

Here's the abstract from the peer-reviewed (so you know everything in it must be true and sworn to by every rational human being now and forever) paper "A volatile discourse…
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Posted inStatistics

JASA: The Substitute for P-Values

The paper is finally out! The Substitute for p-Values. Here from the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Volume 112, 2017, Issue 519, Pages 897-898 is the abstract (this paper…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it's far far far far far past time to cease…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
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Posted inStatistics

The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing

This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
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