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Posted inStatistics

Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last

Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Pearl of Great Price–Pascal’s Wager Revisited: Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a self-described "retired, cranky, old physicist" and convert to Catholicism. He blogs at Reflections of a Catholic Scientist, where this piece first appeared. Again, the kingdom of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Precaution: Part II—Guest Post by J.C. Hanekamp

For all the flurry surrounding precaution---being portrayed as a decisional/procedural instrument to protect human and environmental health from the (potential) dangers of human activities---the history shows that we are dealing…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Cosmology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part IV

Part III Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question IV is Cosmology. The most contentious scientific question is…
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Posted inStatistics

Precaution: Part III—Guest Post by J.C. Hanekamp

Read Part II. Precaution is essential, so the tale goes, to create policies and laws that focus on and tackle uncertainty that might be the foreboding of particular risks. The…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inCulture

University’s Non-Discrimination Clause

I've been looking at university positions and typical is this fine print from the University of San Francisco (which used to be Catholic): The University of San Francisco is an…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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