Posted inStatistics
Another Proof Against P-Value Reasoning
This isn't so much an extra proof, but a clarification on one of the proofs used in "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof" (the first two arguments). Calculation of…
Posted inFun
The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System
It's the time of year when people begin asking the very pertinent question: How does Santa Claus do it? How does he get all those presents to all those kids…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One
Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…
Posted inPhilosophy
Moral Relativism Is Bogus — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Oftentimes moral relativism is defined in more abstract terms and described as the belief that values or principles are "subjective" or "relative" to individuals or cultures. What works for one…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…