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The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System
Posted inFun

The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System

It's the time of year when people begin asking the very pertinent question: How does Santa Claus do it? How does he get all those presents to all those kids…
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Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…
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Moral Relativism Is Bogus — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

Moral Relativism Is Bogus — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Oftentimes moral relativism is defined in more abstract terms and described as the belief that values or principles are "subjective" or "relative" to individuals or cultures. What works for one…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2

Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1

Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2!…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 22, 2026

    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

  2. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  5. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

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