Posted inStatistics
Why Statistics Can’t Discover Cause, And Bad Priors
My mailbag is filling up. Today two questions from readers, both about statistics. Feel free to send yours in on any subject. Tomorrow is a doozy. Question 1 From reader…
Posted inFun Statistics
Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong
Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Philosophy Of Uncertainty: An Introduction. Complete Preface. Update
Le livre, he is done! I yesterday sent a proposal to a philosophy editor at Cambridge. Not enough equations or pictures in it to pique the interest of the statistics…
Posted inStatistics
Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead
https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
Posted inStatistics
The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper
New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
Posted inStatistics
Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper
The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?
I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician.…
Posted inFun Statistics
Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups
Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…