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Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had
Posted inStatistics

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Once again, for the statistically accurate umpteenth time, I saw some of our guys lamenting, cursing, hand-wringing, shouting and delivering various clever imprecations over yet another Hollywood abomination. This time…
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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat
Posted inStatistics

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

Science is not the answer. It cannot be "because Science" that you ought to give up meat. Which Harvard scientists want you to do in the name of "justice". And,…
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‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest
Posted inStatistics

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

What's need in Science is a hot topic. A band wagon on which one can jump with gusto, grabbing its great Grips of Grants, guides which ensure success and promotion.…
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Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research
Posted inStatistics

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

(My enemies changed the title. I have changed it back. They will pay for this insolence.) Daylight savings time is something that angers many performatively, more than in truth. If…
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How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children
Posted inStatistics

How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children

It is remarkable that persons most likely to screech at you about "believing in" evolution are apt to say things like "Trans women are women" or speak of "pregnant people",…
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In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value
Posted inStatistics

In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No Value

Given Sabine's penchant for posting overly shocked thumbnails for her video splash-screens, I present this equivalent dramatic image. I like to tease Sabine Hossenfelder, especially when she chooses to inform…
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  1. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  3. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

  5. hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025

    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

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