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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2015 Predictions?

The answer to the post title's question is: I'm not so sure. Because why? Because the predictions everybody registered were lost when I was hacked last January. Why was I…
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Posted inStatistics

Here’s Why That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic Stinks. Updates

Update 13 August 2019 The paper has been retracted! Welcome Guardian readers. You should understand this poor study is one of thousands, all of which make similar mistakes. See the…
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Posted inStatistics

Hubris & Models: Global Warming Economic Production Edition

COP21 in Paris is fast approaching and the #BigPush is on. That means we're forced to talk about global warming more than I'd like (which is not at all). But…
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Posted inStatistics

Tide Gauge Locations And Sea Level Rise, Some Statistical Concerns

Marcel Crok asked me to comment on the peer-reviewed paper "Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise" Beenstock (yes) and others in the journal Environmental and…
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Posted inStatistics

Enjoy Coffee? You Could Be A Psychopath. Or, Time For A Two-Year Moratorium Of Questionnaire Science

The headline blared "Enjoy coffee or a gin and tonic? You could be a psychopath: People with dark personalities prefer bitter foods and drinks". And then the bullet points: *…
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Posted inStatistics

How Many Deaths Does Reading @Voxdotcom Cause?

Bernd Felsche ?sends the breaking Vox news story "How many deaths did Volkswagen's pollution scandal cause? A back-of-the-envelope estimate." This article may represent the triumph of "explanatory" journalism. Volkswagen was…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Scientists Pretend They Can Answer Why Some Are More Religious

One thing that nearly always accompanies scientism is historical cluelessness. When somebody adopts the Way Of Science, they fall spell to the idea that only that which is most recent…
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Posted inStatistics

Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause

Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
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  1. Robert Berger on Physics & Vertical Causation: The End of Quantum Reality by Wolfgang Smith ReviewedFebruary 1, 2026

    Thel Physics comments miss the entire metaphysical point ! (for the most part) We are now getting back to essence.…

  2. Robert Berger on Wolfgang Smith’s Vision Of Oneness — Guest Post by Ianto WattFebruary 1, 2026

    Whatever failures there are in the human writings and thought of Wolfgang Smith, he is the best mind on Physics…

  3. Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026

    Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…

  4. Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026

    Brilliant. Thank you.

  5. spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026

    You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…

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