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Posted inStatistics

Having A Kid Worse Than Divorce Or Death? Wee P-values Say Yes

When I first ascend to Emperor, after throwing into the dungeon any within earshot who cannot speak a full sentence without using 'like', my first act will be to create…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Only Metric That Matters

I've been reading reviews of the the peevish Jerry Coyne's new book Faith Versus Fact (I don't have any money to give him to buy an actual copy). Recommended is…
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Posted inStatistics

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Gaia Hypothesis Is Either Trivial And Useless Or False And Ridiculous

Hans Schellnhuber is an adviser to the Vatican's Pontifical Academy of Sciences. In the peer-reviewed Nature paper "Climbing the co-evolution ladder" (431, 913 (21 October 2004)) he and two co-authors…
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Posted inStatistics

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed

The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…
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Posted inStatistics

Will Climate Change Kill One-Sixth Of All Species?

Today's headline was prompted by Mark Urban's peer-reviewed paper in Science "Accelerating extinction risk from climate change", which assures us that if we don't "do something", this is the end…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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  1. John Pate on A New Kind Of University: Your Comments WantedAugust 30, 2026

    Not convinced you're encroaching on the functions of the universities with this initiative. Seems to me the primary functions of…

  2. APC Carrier on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 29, 2026

    Mankind will never go extinct. We know that indirectly from Scripture. Jesus said "when the Son of Man comes back,…

  3. John Pate on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 28, 2026

    Another thing to model: the age at which the mother gives birth to the children. Mothers who give birth in…

  4. Dennis Larkin on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    Medieval Cathars avoided sexual carnality. They fought militarily against the kings for a time, going down to defeat, while their…

  5. JRob on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    re: Shawn Marshall Just yesterday my email folder contained a conservative political call to oppose the upcoming abortion amendment to…

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